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Welfare and Charlie Baker’s Problem with Women of Color

Charlie Baker had a bad week.  And I mean a really bad.  Baker dropped his ad firm just as  recent polling showed a 10 point lead for Democratic opponent Martha Coakley.  Then he called a female...

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Most Gendered Headline of Campaign Season: “Is Coakley Using Women’s Issues...

 Yes, you read that headline right. And if you did not blink, or better yet recoil in disgust, then you are a part of the problem. Last week, GoLocalWorcester published Nicholas Handy’s more measured...

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Probation Mess: Perception v. Strategic Reality in Guv’s Race

Political scientists have long been debated the relative significance of various factors in determining electoral outcomes. One debate focuses on the relative significance of turning out base partisan...

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PAC Sponsored “Mothers” Ad: What it Really Conveys

I’ve seen the television advertisement Mass Forward, a PAC supporting gubernatorial candidate Steve Grossman, is running. It stops me in my tracks. And it does so for reasons that have nothing to do...

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MassForward’s “Mother’s Ad” Disappears and Social Science Suggests Why: Race

All the talk this week in the Massachusetts Governor’s race is on the ad Martha Coakley is running that paints her as a political outsider who has never been embraced by the old boy’s club. She’s right...

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Pols against politics don’t win primaries

There is a pretty standard theme in most “outsider” political campaigns that was evident last night in the Democratic gubernatorial debate. Don Berwick says he’s not a politician and that government...

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“Anatomy of a disagreement” or “My beef with Bernstein”

It used to be said that you shouldn’t argue with folks who buy ink by the barrel. An Information Age corollary to that sage admonition might be, you shouldn’t argue with top Twitter Influencers. The...

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The Polls fooled Reporters who wrote “Nothing to see here.”

Attorney General Martha Coakley beat Treasurer Steve Grossman by 6 points in yesterday’s Democratic gubernatorial primary. Today, the media is filled with headlines about the surprisingly close result....

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After Action Report: Media Polling Performance

For the past four months I have been arguing that the contest for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination between the sitting State Attorney General and State Treasurer was much closer than the...

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Coakley, Brown, & Baker and the difference between Senate and Guv elections

Success for Martha Coakley, Scott Brown, and Charlie Baker this November may depend on a proper appreciation of the difference between US Senate and gubernatorial elections. Both major party candidates...

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